Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000925 1.062891e-03 0.001203 0.001355 0.001515 0.001678 0.001855
2025-07-20 0.000670 8.615560e-04 0.001064 0.001291 0.001537 0.001792 0.002077
2025-07-27 0.000537 7.698815e-04 0.001026 0.001322 0.001649 0.001996 0.002388
2025-08-03 0.000402 6.582570e-04 0.000953 0.001305 0.001703 0.002132 0.002623
2025-08-10 0.000260 5.190552e-04 0.000835 0.001226 0.001680 0.002177 0.002754
2025-08-17 0.000170 4.283814e-04 0.000764 0.001194 0.001703 0.002269 0.002932
2025-08-24 0.000086 3.223095e-04 0.000662 0.001115 0.001666 0.002289 0.003027
2025-08-31 0.000043 2.653281e-04 0.000616 0.001100 0.001700 0.002385 0.003205
2025-09-07 0.000020 2.309899e-04 0.000596 0.001115 0.001767 0.002519 0.003422
2025-09-14 0.000002 1.786285e-04 0.000542 0.001082 0.001773 0.002580 0.003555
2025-09-21 NaN 1.567036e-04 0.000532 0.001104 0.001845 0.002715 0.003773
2025-09-28 NaN 1.514799e-04 0.000548 0.001160 0.001959 0.002899 0.004045
2025-10-05 NaN 1.023019e-04 0.000492 0.001133 0.001988 0.003007 0.004257
2025-10-12 NaN 5.415811e-05 0.000422 0.001079 0.001983 0.003075 0.004428
2025-10-19 NaN 3.796946e-05 0.000411 0.001112 0.002089 0.003278 0.004756
2025-10-26 NaN 1.659949e-05 0.000372 0.001099 0.002134 0.003407 0.004999
2025-11-02 NaN 1.724158e-07 0.000301 0.001027 0.002099 0.003435 0.005121
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000260 0.000998 0.002117 0.003528 0.005318
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000200 0.000926 0.002072 0.003540 0.005417
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000174 0.000913 0.002107 0.003650 0.005632
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000163 0.000927 0.002179 0.003806 0.005902
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000133 0.000897 0.002187 0.003880 0.006070
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000127 0.000917 0.002267 0.004044 0.006349